Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.004071 0.004276 0.004486 0.004717 0.004967 0.005227 0.005519
2025-11-16 0.003696 0.003995 0.004314 0.004682 0.005096 0.005549 0.006085
2025-11-23 0.003473 0.003826 0.004214 0.004675 0.005210 0.005816 0.006561
2025-11-30 0.003266 0.003651 0.004084 0.004608 0.005234 0.005962 0.006884
2025-12-07 0.003102 0.003510 0.003977 0.004554 0.005257 0.006095 0.007186
2025-12-14 0.002987 0.003417 0.003917 0.004546 0.005328 0.006282 0.007557
2025-12-21 0.002821 0.003255 0.003764 0.004415 0.005236 0.006257 0.007649
2025-12-28 0.002744 0.003195 0.003731 0.004427 0.005320 0.006452 0.008032
2026-01-04 0.002693 0.003162 0.003728 0.004473 0.005446 0.006704 0.008503
2026-01-11 0.002610 0.003088 0.003669 0.004443 0.005470 0.006820 0.008789
2026-01-18 0.002544 0.003030 0.003628 0.004435 0.005520 0.006969 0.009127
2026-01-25 0.002471 0.002961 0.003570 0.004399 0.005529 0.007061 0.009386
2026-02-01 0.002446 0.002953 0.003590 0.004469 0.005685 0.007366 0.009979
2026-02-08 0.002379 0.002889 0.003534 0.004435 0.005696 0.007466 0.010268
2026-02-15 0.002328 0.002843 0.003501 0.004428 0.005744 0.007618 0.010646
2026-02-22 0.002258 0.002770 0.003430 0.004366 0.005709 0.007647 0.010828
2026-03-01 0.002196 0.002707 0.003368 0.004316 0.005688 0.007693 0.011038
2026-03-08 0.002154 0.002668 0.003339 0.004308 0.005729 0.007833 0.011409
2026-03-15 0.002072 0.002573 0.003231 0.004187 0.005596 0.007700 0.011316
2026-03-22 0.002042 0.002548 0.003217 0.004198 0.005660 0.007875 0.011753
2026-03-29 0.002024 0.002539 0.003225 0.004241 0.005774 0.008131 0.012348
2026-04-05 0.001983 0.002497 0.003186 0.004213 0.005778 0.008213 0.012638
2026-04-12 0.001950 0.002466 0.003161 0.004205 0.005812 0.008342 0.013022